Morning Update 1/12/23

CPI data shows inflation receding. USDA report today Grain futures moved higher overnight as the Rosario Exchange in Argentina lowered its soybean output to 37 MMTs versus 49 previously in the USDA’s 49.5. They estimated corn production at 45 MMTs versus 55 MMTs previously, and if realized, exporter corn and soybean balance sheets will be adversely…

Morning Update 1/11/23

Corn and soybeans rebound overnight. Corn and soybean futures rebounded overnight along with a lift in crude oil (oil near the highs of the week up $1.50), as short covering interest inspired buying ahead of Thursday’s WASDE crop report. Wheat futures recovered from overnight losses but stayed mixed into the early morning hours. The Chinese…

Morning Update 1/10/23

Grains fail to find a Turnaround-Tuesday. Grain futures are lower today after yesterday’s poor technical closes. Improving moisture prospects in Argentina beyond January 20 continues to prompt liquidation. Russia made an aggressive offer to Egypt, taking the legs out of the wheat market once again. Kansas City wheat falls through its December low on the…

Morning Update 1/9/23

Soybeans failed to breach 15.00 overnight and hold. Sunday night grain trade had seen a higher opening, but soybeans stalled at the $15.00 mark with record soybean meal ownership by the funds finding an exodus into the strength. Arid weather forecasts continue for Argentina, but several week fronts do pass through Argentina that presently do…

Morning Update 1/6/23

End of week short covering dominates overnight. Grain futures firmed overnight on end of the week short covering after three heavy days of selling that caught bid in the Thursday forenoon trading. This morning’s employment data came out neutral, averting fears that the Fed would take more aggressive action against any data numbers stronger than…

Morning Update 1/5/23

Overnight strength fades into the Thursday opening. The grain trade is mixed this morning after trying a minor bounce in the night alongside crude oil, which had led the commodity complex declines on Tuesday/Wednesday. Overnight strength in soybeans was tempered back as the morning GFS models moved potential rain from January 14, one day sooner,…

Morning Update 1/4/23

Soybeans firm on Argentine drought, corn and wheat soft. Grain futures are mixed this morning, with the wheat market sagging alongside French milling wheat values and corn drifting lower with the declining crude oil, which has been down over $$2.00 a barrel over the slowing prospects of China increasing energy purchases soon with rising Covid…

Morning Update 1/3/23

Soybeans and corn higher, wheat softer to start the new year. This first trading day of the new year has grains anticipating a mixed opening. Soybeans are called 5-10 higher with corn 1-3 higher, while wheat is indicated 2-5 lower with losses on French milling wheat. Some forecasted rains did fall over key Argentine crop…