Author: Ivan

Grain futures are starting to see a crack in trendline ability. Grain futures did open higher last night on the declining crop ratings, and despite night selling back to unchanged levels, found re-newed buying in the morning hours. The realization that ratings will be down again next Monday due to the stress inflicted this week…

Crop Condition Ratings Corn ratings gd/ex came in at 64% which is down 1% from last week’s 65%  Bean ratings gd/ex came in at 58% which is down 2% from last week’s 60% MWE ratings gd/ex came in at 9% which is down 2% from last week’s 11% and has now scored worse than the…

Grain futures trade lower overnight on China tensions. Grain futures opened higher last night on concerning heat for this week but were sandbagged and sold on a higher start with a large drop lower as political talks between the US/China have become tense. China called US/China relations at a stalemate. China has presented the US…

Cattle On Feed 7/23/21 On Feed:    99% vs 99.0% estimatePlaced:       93% vs 95.9% estimateMarketed:  103% vs 102.1% estimate Cattle Inventory Report: All Cattle and Calves: 99%* vs 99.5% estimateCalf Crop: 100%* vs 99.6% estimateTotal Cows and Heifers: 99%* vs 99.3% estimate*USDA rounds to the nearest percentage point Cattle on feed report bullish on…

Another weather weekend ahead. Grain futures were mixed overnight, with spring wheat again leading the recovery, with corn and soybeans ending slightly to moderately lower. There is no question that the heat/dryness will have sliding US crop ratings on Monday, and it’s likely into the following week. The market continues to look for saving grace…

Buy a Sept MWE Wheat at 866.2 with a 848 stop, day order. 862 is a 25% retracement of the April-July rally. The June highs of 858-859 also provide support. A rebound from 855-865 would be expected.

The 11-15 day EU weather model suggests rain. From the opening tick of the evening session, grain futures tumbled into a sharply lower session, as the hint of the 11-15 day ensemble for the EU weather model suggested moisture at the opening of August. Algorithm computer systems kicked in and sold relentlessly, irrelevant to what…

Concerning heat keeps overnight grain prices firm. Grain futures pressed higher overnight, with Minneapolis wheat finding continued profit-taking and spread unwinding after failure to take out Sunday nights 944.4 high from Monday’s devastating crop condition ratings. Soybean struggled overnight on news that the Biden Administration may delay the biofuel mandate announcement for 2021 and 2022….

Grain futures recover back to Sunday nights highs. With the outside markets stable today and not creating a negative influence, grain futures opened firm last night and traded sharply higher row crop ratings that barely showed improvement after last week’s cooler temperatures and rains. Spring wheat ratings collapsed historical lows to register an 11% GD/EX…

Crop Condition Ratings Corn ratings gd/ex came in at 65% which is unchanged from last week’s 65% trade was estimating 66% Bean ratings gd/ex came in at 60% which is up 1% from last week’s 59% MWE ratings gd/ex came in at 11% which is down 5% from last week’s 16%, trade was estimating 15%…