Morning Update 4/25/22

The US dollar approaches multi-year highs. Grain futures opened higher last night and turned sharply lower on row crops while wheat futures trimmed gains, as crude oil dropped over four dollars a barrel, with gold also down over $30 as the US dollar pushed to the highest price in two years. The dollar has rallied…

Cattle On Feed

Cattle On Feed On Feed: 102% vs 100.4% estimatePlaced: 99.5% vs 92.1% estimateMarketed: 98% vs 98.1% estimate Trade is bearish to pre-report expectations, look for a sharply lower opening of 1-2 dollars when trade resumes on Monday.

Morning Update 4/22/22

Bean oil values lift grain complex on Indonesian palm oil ban. Grain futures were universally lower across the board at 5:30 a.m. this morning until it was announced that Indonesia would be banning Palm oil exports as of April 28. The explosion of Being oil over four cents a pound off of morning lows lifted…

KC Wheat

Spec Trade: Place a GTC order to buy July KC wheat at 1125.4 with an 1103 stop. The intraday moving average support in the past when challenged typically does not allow for slippage of more than $0.14 before reverses back higher.

Morning Update 4/21/22

Soybeans Grain prices soften on light export sales data. Grain futures are softer today, taking a break from the heavy fund inflows on Monday, along with option-related short-covering Tuesday and Wednesday on the May corn and soybean contracts. It’s a strong cash market with the sellers abandoning their short positions in call options, with options…

Morning Update 4/20/22

Soybeans price recovery highs overnight. Grain futures are mostly higher this morning, with soybeans the strongest in the spot May contract. China continues seeking US soybeans, with average daily announcements of over 120,000 MTs. Tightening exporter supplies have corn and beans stalling and what are still decade highs. An improving two-week Central US weather forecast…

Morning Update 4/19/22

Turn-around-Tuesday corrects 3-day weekend pinch gains. Grain futures dutifully opened higher last night and traded firm, with corn making new contract highs on the slow start of the planting progress reports, and wheat futures challenged Monday’s high, with only Kansas City briefly breaching Monday’s high. The stage was set as we discussed in Monday’s newsletter…