Author: Ivan

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade is set for a Turnaround-Tuesday recovery. Grain futures are mostly firmer this morning, with the exception of Minneapolis wheat, which is down 2 cents. July corn remains near steady and continues to appear undervalued. Weekly corn demand remains strong, even with Brazil’s safrinha crop entering the export market. However, Brazil’s domestic corn…

  • Morning Update

    Soybean oil is sharply higher with expanded limits in place today. Grain futures are broadly mixed this morning, with wheat and corn trading lower, while soybeans find support from a sharply higher soybean oil market, which is rallying in expanded limits. Friday’s announcement of a proposed biodiesel blending rate increase to 5.6 billion gallons came…

  • Morning Update

    Geo-political events dominate the night session. As you are likely aware by now, Israel launched a preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities overnight, triggering a sharp rally in energy and metal markets and providing a modest lift to the grain trade. The world is now bracing for Iran’s retaliation. Several neighboring countries are calling for…

  • Market Quick Take

    Post WASDE & Outlook Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xKaQVWx3Vdw Grains: Corn carryout cut 50 million bushels to 1.75 billion, no market reaction.Beans unchanged, but 5 million bushels below trade guess.Wheat exports raised 25 million bushels; no change to yield or production. Markets: US dollar hits lowest since April 2022, down 12%…

  • Morning Update

    WASDE data out at 11 a.m. CT. This morning’s grain trade is firmer, supported by a wave of new data being released today, prompting short covering. First, Brazil’s CONAB updated its production estimates, putting soybeans at 169.6 MMT and corn at 128.3 MMT. Both figures are slightly above the May estimates but came in just…

  • Morning Update

    The grains are firm to start on Wednesday. Will the day session get sold? The screens are green this morning. After two days of trade talks between the US and China, the framework agreement to follow the earlier Geneva plans remains intact. Additionally, this morning’s Consumer Price Index confirmed reduced inflationary pressure, which has pushed…

  • Market Quick Take

    June WASDE Preview Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1092239392?share=copy Corn: WASDE report due Thursday at 11 AM, major focus on old crop ending stocks. Guesses range 1.3 to 1.46 billion bushels; author expects 1.325. New crop corn estimates around 1.789 but possibly under 1.8. Corn exports questioned, but usage remains strong via…

  • Morning Update

    The soybeans remain firm while corn turned near steady, with wheat still having losses at the close of the night session. Grain markets continued yesterday’s pattern, with corn and wheat remaining under pressure while soybeans held firmer overnight. The market is largely lacking fresh news, leaving prices to follow their paths of least resistance. For…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade turns lower overnight after mild overnight strength. Grains are under pressure due to a lack of interest from managed money and the absence of a bullish story. Both US and global corn and wheat crops are experiencing stress, but yield loss is difficult to determine at this stage. For corn, the US…