Morning Update

The market awaits “Liberation Day” announcements at 4 PM ET today. This morning’s grain trade is lower, with the exception of soybean oil and KC wheat, which are still holding a small gain. The coalition agreement between oil companies and biofuel providers to raise the Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO) for 2026-2028 green diesel fuel appears…

Market Quick Take

Will Grains Rally Into Quarter Two Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1071532573?share=copy Grain Markets Corn acres at 95.3M; USDA’s 182 bu/acre yield projection remains questionableSoybean oil rallies on potential biodiesel expansion; resistance near 50 centsWheat remains range-bound; Chicago wheat struggles to hold support Weather & Crop Conditions Delta flooding raises preventive planting…

Morning Update

A new month and a new quarter has buying across commodities. After a softer night session, the grain trade is firmer across the board as we start a new month and a new quarter. Yesterday’s corn open interest was up a massive 35,432 contracts while soybeans gained 5046 contracts. It appears buying is entering in…

USDA Report

USDA Grain Stocks and Prospective Planting 3/31/25 The stocks number were near expectations. Corn acreage came in just above the whispered number of 95 million, while soybeans were near their estimate. Wheat acreage was the surprise, down over 1 million acres from the average guess. Total all grain and cotton acreage fell by 700,000 from…

Morning Update

USDA Stocks and Acreage Intention report out at 11:00 a.m. CT today. This morning’s grain trade is firm to higher, led by soybeans, while KC wheat is the weakest link on showers brewing across the driest areas of the HRW wheat belt (mainly on the EU model). Soybeans pressed the 1030 region overnight as soybean…

Morning Update

Grain selling continues as fears mount from Monday’s acreage report. This morning’s grain trade sees more ongoing selling as fears grow that a large acreage number for corn will be reported on Monday’s seeding intentions report. Meanwhile, wheat continues to find selling despite a GFS weather model remaining dry. Although the EU model wants to…

Market Quick Take

USDA Crop Preview & Info Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1070089566?share=copy Corn Market: USDA’s March 31 report might show 95+ million acres of corn, largely from fringe states.Yield trend likely remains at 177-178, but USDA estimates may be overly optimistic.Dry weather in the western Corn Belt could lead to price volatility.A sharp…

Morning Update

Soybean oil leads the strength in the overnight grain trade. Stability came to the grain trade overnight with soybean oil leading to soybean gains of 7-8 cents as Pres. Trump has asked the US oil and biofuel industry to work together and craft a new biofuel regulatory proposal they can both endorse. This would avoid…

Morning Update

Grain trade absorbs potential Russian/Ukraine cease-fire. This morning’s grain trade is mixed with wheat softer while row crops are steady/firm. Volume has dropped considerably, with three full trading days remaining until Monday at 11:00 a.m., when we receive the Stocks and Acreage Intentions report. The average estimate for corn is at 94.4 million acres, soybeans…

Market Quick Take

Grains Digest Crop Estimates Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1069337847?share=copy Corn Market: Estimated 94.4 million acres; trend yield unlikely.Market fears large carry-out despite demand adjustments.Russian-Ukrainian peace deal speculation pressures prices.U.S. remains cheapest corn supplier through May. Wheat Market: Key growing areas face below-normal precipitation.Rumors of a Russian peace deal weigh on prices.Market…