Author: Ivan

Spec trade: Place a buy stop on March beans to go long on a 1275.2 stop. Use a 20 cent protective stop if filled. Buy a March KC wheat at 786.4 with a 768 stop.

WASDA Supply/Demand report out today. Grain futures are lower ahead of today’s USDA supply-demand report at 11:00 a.m. Expectations are for WASDA to raise the US corn ethanol grind and cut corn ending stocks by 25-50 Mil Bu. Soybean exports are expected to fall 15-40 Mil Bu, resulting in a large carryout stocks number. It’s…

Spec Trade: Cash in the long March corn at the MKT, 586.4 last for a $900 gain. Corn is up against resistance and we will buy stop back in if it presses higher through resistance.

Soybean oil leads overnight grain losses. Grain futures are lower across the board, led by soybean oil as Algo-rhythm headline reading trading programs aggressively sold soybean oil, dragging soybeans lower in the evening. Corn and wheat futures held most of the evening until London opened at 3:45 AM, and French milling wheat declined $3 MT…

EPA announcements imminent Corn futures are pressing new highs in the day above $5.88, on a Reuters news story that the EPA today is set to release its mandates. When being questioned, it appears they’re going to reject a significant number of small refinery exemptions requests. 2022 mandates are likely at 15 Bil.

Grain futures retreat from overnight strength. Grain futures traded mostly higher overnight, alongside a sharply higher energy complex and stock indexes. However, with technical resistance overhead on corn and soybeans, grain futures drifted from overnight gains to reflect a soft close in price at the end of the night session, awaiting fresh export news. Ukraine’s…

Grain futures give up overnight higher start. Grain futures opened higher last night, with soybeans posting a new recovery high before widespread selling materialized across the complex on profit-taking with Thursday’s WASDA crop report on the way. No production data will be presented in this report, it will just be supply-demand numbers, with many suggesting…

Weather is becoming a concern in S Brazil and Argentina. Row crop prices pushed higher overnight while the wheat market consolidated yesterday’s sharp gains. Risk-on continues across the commodity complex overnight, with the current variant being less invasive than the current Delta virus. Corn and soybeans continue to find new buying interest in South America’s…

Spec Trade: Buy a Jan Bean oil at the MKT, 55.22 last with a 53.82 stop.

Risk-on is the order of the day for index funds. Grain futures were sharply higher overnight, with the wheat trade recovering from heavy selling in a short period of time as the risk-on trade comes back in vogue. Yesterday, Pfizer indicated that it expected its current vaccine to hold up to omicron with the World…