Uncategorized

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade recovers as fertilizer becomes the topic of the day. The grain trade is under full recovery mode after two heavy days of selling after the Sunday night spike rally. The reality is, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to traffic, which does not help fertilizer movement that is critical at this time…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade finds stability in the overnight session. The grain trade is mixed this morning, with prices within pennies of either side of unchanged. Yesterday’s climactic run in crude oil in the Sunday night session, and the late collapse in the day when Pres. Trump announced that the war would end soon, created weakness…

  • Morning Update

    Oil challenges 120 overnight before tumbling back to near 100. All eyes were on oil prices on Sunday evening as prices exploded through $100 level and climbed into the evening, tagging just shy of 120 before midnight. It was around that time when the G-7 leaders convened a phone meeting where they would work on…

  • Hedge Recommendations

    Hedge Recommendation fills overnight Made a 10% old crop soybean sale on the May contract at 1192.Made a 25% old crop sale of Corn at 468 on the July contract.Made a new crop soybean 15% sale at 1144 November contract.Sold 35% of all crop winter wheat in Kansas City at 607.We are pennies away on…

  • Morning Update

    Energy and fertilizer values force grains higher overnight. Grain futures pushed higher again in the night session, following a resurgence in crude oil prices overnight, as the White House’s plan to help stem oil prices was pulled off the table. This has crude oil pushing to the $87 range, which hasn’t been seen since 2022….

  • Soybean Hedge

    Hedge recommendation: Recommend buying the August short-dated new crop 11.00 put at $0.28 The recommendation is on 50% production. Per the newsletter, this option expires on July 24 and covers 2 acreage crop reports, spring planting, and early summer weather. If the option expires worthless, this implies the current values could be much higher, allowing…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade recovers from early-week selling. Corn, soybeans, and wheat moved higher during overnight trade as new buying interest entered the market. Outside markets have begun to stabilize following the initial shock of the U.S.-Iran conflict, though most sectors remain firm. Strength in the energy complex is especially supportive for agriculture through its connection…

  • Morning Update

    Grain markets are softening as calm returns to the energy markets. Grain futures are softening across the board this morning as the crude oil market, though elevated, is showing a sense of calm. A conversation late yesterday from the administration is that they are considering insuring and escorting vehicles through the Straits of Hormuz, which…