Uncategorized

  • Morning Update

    April WASDE crop report out at 11:00 CT a.m. today. Grain futures are higher this morning, extending yesterday’s gains, as Trump pauses new tariffs for 90 days a move likely to allow for normal grain flows into mid-summer. Active export sales numbers continue to suggest that the USDA may be underestimating total corn supplies. All…

  • Morning Update

    China places countervailing tariffs on the US of 84%. Grain prices were firmer overnight. Then, at 6 AM, when China announced their countervailing tariffs of 84% on US goods, they dipped too unchanged to slightly lower. They quickly recovered and are now headed out near the session’s best levels. This marks the third day in…

  • Morning Update

    Soybeans lead overnight grain trade advance. This morning’s grain trade is firm, with follow-through buying from yesterday’s strong closes, led by soybeans. A strong overnight recovery in the stock market, with the Dow Jones gaining over 1,000 points, is also providing support. Soybeans are leading the strength as an Argentine crusher, representing 9% of the…

  • Morning Update

    Wheat leads overnight recovery bounce in the grain trade. This morning’s grain trade is higher, led by wheat, as nearly complete dryness is expected to persist in the HRW wheat belt for the next two weeks. Additionally, SRW wheat is at risk of production losses due to massive flooding in the South-Central US following weekend…

  • Morning Update

    China implemented 34% tariffs on all US goods early this morning This morning’s grain trade turned lower against world markets turned sharply lower in the early morning hours. At 5:00 a.m. CT, China announced retaliating tariffs of 34% on all goods imported from the US. This was China’s most aggressive retaliation against US rising tariffs…

  • Morning Update

    World markets plummet on a more comprehensive tariff package. World markets are sharply lower this morning after President Trump introduced a more comprehensive tariff package than initially planned. The 54% US tariff on China was a surprise and is expected to provoke retaliation. China is the US’s third-largest importer of agricultural products, behind Mexico and…

  • Morning Update

    The market awaits “Liberation Day” announcements at 4 PM ET today. This morning’s grain trade is lower, with the exception of soybean oil and KC wheat, which are still holding a small gain. The coalition agreement between oil companies and biofuel providers to raise the Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO) for 2026-2028 green diesel fuel appears…

  • Morning Update

    A new month and a new quarter has buying across commodities. After a softer night session, the grain trade is firmer across the board as we start a new month and a new quarter. Yesterday’s corn open interest was up a massive 35,432 contracts while soybeans gained 5046 contracts. It appears buying is entering in…

  • USDA Report

    USDA Grain Stocks and Prospective Planting 3/31/25 The stocks number were near expectations. Corn acreage came in just above the whispered number of 95 million, while soybeans were near their estimate. Wheat acreage was the surprise, down over 1 million acres from the average guess. Total all grain and cotton acreage fell by 700,000 from…

  • Morning Update

    USDA Stocks and Acreage Intention report out at 11:00 a.m. CT today. This morning’s grain trade is firm to higher, led by soybeans, while KC wheat is the weakest link on showers brewing across the driest areas of the HRW wheat belt (mainly on the EU model). Soybeans pressed the 1030 region overnight as soybean…