Morning Update 6/18/21

Grain futures posted sharp overnight recovery. Grain futures recovered sharply higher overnight with no follow-through selling on the reopening. The realization is that the coming rains will not be enough to break the ongoing dryness across the Western Midwest corn belt, with temps to return to above normal by the end of June. Thursday’s price…

Morning Update 6/17/21

Sharply lower overnight grain trade on increasing rainfall potential. Grain futures tumbled sharply lower overnight, as all weather models added some amount of rain to their respective 10-day forecasts, with the GFS remaining the wettest. Some light and unexpected showers were also noted across Iowa overnight which sparked further liquidation. There were a few T…

Heartland:

Volatile trading night with flipping weather models. Grain futures started higher in the night session, but night time weather models flipped markets before recovering into the early morning hours. The dry European forecast model that was released Tuesday afternoon (after CBT closed) prompted the higher start. When the overnight US GFS forecast model added rain…

Buy Corn 6/16/21

Volatile trading night with flipping weather models. Grain futures started higher in the night session, but night time weather models flipped markets before recovering into the early morning hours. The dry European forecast model that was released Tuesday afternoon (after CBT closed) prompted the higher start. When the overnight US GFS forecast model added rain…

Morning Update 6/15/21

Grain prices erode premiums on potential weekend rain. Grain futures opened higher overnight on declined ratings. Still, they immediately started to extract premium’s again as the euro evening forecasts continue to show a chance of Midwest rains this coming Sunday. The forecast models are apart on coming Midwest rainfall totals due to the uncertainty of…

Morning Update 6/14/21

Grain futures collapse on hint of long-term weather model change. A sharp reversal of attitudes in the grain market created a collapse in pricing overnight. The market focused on a cooler and slightly wetter 9-14 day forecast versus the oncoming warm, dry pattern for this week. Whether interaction with a potential tropical system in the…

Morning Update 6/11/21

Grain markets follow the pattern of selling sharply lower after crop report. Grain futures overnight did the classic sell off sharply the day after a USDA crop report. They are 100%, 6 for6, with last night’s overnight double-digit selling losses. But there is another statistic behind that, 100% of the time on the last 5…

Morning Update 6/10/21

Grains higher overnight on concerning Midwest weather. A mostly higher night session except for Chicago wheat, as a drier/warmer weather pattern for the Central US becomes concerning. Heading into today’s USDA crop production data at 11 AM, traders lean slightly bearish on wheat while friendly corn and neutral soybeans. Expectations are for US corn exports…