KWE Put

Spec trade: Buy the April 880 KC wheat put for 29 cents OB. If Putin outsmarts Biden again and no invasion occurs by or through the weekend, wheat prices could go into swift retreat from present levels.

Morning Update 2/23/22

Malaysian palmoil pulls bean oil higher. Grain futures continued higher in the night session, with wheat maintaining yesterday’s gains and Malaysian palmoil again setting new historical highs on supply tightness, pulling soybean oil higher in its wake, which also carries beans to new contract highs. Last night the March bean contract got within $0.12 of the…

Morning Update 2/22/22

Grain futures move sharply higher early Monday evening before retreat. Grain futures moved sharply higher overnight, led by the wheat, as Russia did not invade Ukraine, instead the Russian separatists seized and declared the independence of two eastern states, with Putin quickly moving to recognize their independence. Russian troops moved into those two states, declaring…

Morning Update 2/18/22

Markets remain erratic into a 3-day weekend. Grain futures spent most of the evening lower overnight, with soybeans again catching a bid in the morning hours on the continual rising of bids in Brazil, with soybeans higher by another 10-12 cents from Thursday to now being a $1.55 over US values. US soybeans are now…

Morning Update 2/17/22

World events lift grain prices overnight. After the lower Wednesday evening start across the board in the grain complex, wheat futures initially burst higher in the evening after reports that Russia had increased its troop size by 7000, contrary to prior reports of reductions. But it was the report of mortar fire reported to have…

Morning Update 2/16/22

Grain prices find renewed buying interest overnight. The commodity world recovered overnight from yesterday’s thrashing with crude oil lifting over $1.00 barrel, metals firmer, and grain pricing also finding bargain-hunting in the recent sharp decline. However, the three-day weekend coming up will heighten volatility with the never-ending Black Sea political tensions, and potential moisture for…

Morning Update 2/15/22

Grain prices on retreat. Grain futures are lower across the board this morning, as yesterday’s late press to the highs on war rumors in the Black Sea were dashed in the night. Troop movement was noted in the European evening, which was during our noon hour, and many thought it was the push towards escalations….

Morning Update 2/14/22

Grain prices have a volatile Sunday night session. Grain futures ended the night session the opposite direction they started Sunday night. The sharply higher opening had wheat futures gaining $0.20, with soybeans $0.15 higher and corn a nickel before changing direction in the middle of the night. Chances of rain showed up on the GFS…

Morning Update 2/11/22

Grain prices stabilize and recover moderately on firmer world values. After yesterday’s massive selling across the commodity spectrum, grain futures are recovering this morning after new contract highs scored in corn and soybeans yesterday. Monetary policy by the Federal Reserve took on an earnest look after yesterday’s inflationary CPI, with comments that not only was…