Author: Ivan

  • Morning Update

    Soybean oil struggled overnight with changes to 45Z tax credits. This morning’s trade is mixed following a mostly lower evening session. Last night’s correction began as soybean oil moved sharply lower due to disappointment over the 45Z tax credits being diminished in the Congressional budget bill. The credits lost transferability, reducing their value to biofuel…

  • Morning Update

    Grains are universally higher this morning. The grain trade is higher this morning as buying interest continues to resurface, with index funds actively short covering in both wheat and corn. One driver of this move is the addition of a risk premium, as more doubt is being cast over current USDA production estimates, especially for…

  • Market Quick Take

    Wheat Low Has Anchored Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1086157602?share=copy Wheat: Wheat rally continues amid disease pressure in Kansas and soft wheat areasSevere drought and extreme heat in China’s main wheat belt drawing global attentionChina’s poor crop could reduce global supply and increase demand for imports later in the yearV-bottom formation complete;…

  • Morning Update

    Wheat leads overnight strength. This morning’s grain trade is sharply higher in wheat, while corn is also recovering well due to concerns that rainfall may impact final acreage totals. Preventive planting is becoming a growing topic in the Delta and Southern Midwest and in parts of North Dakota, which have been inundated with rain over…

  • Morning Update

    Grain futures start the week firm overnight. This morning’s grain trade is firmer, which has been a common pattern over the past several sessions, where strength in the night session tends to be sold during the day. Still, the firm tone is a pushback against recent selling, as mixed weather conditions are developing across the…

  • Morning Update

    Friday’s grain trade will start out mixed. After a mixed overnight performance, the grain trade is slightly softer this morning. Soybeans are catching their breath after a sharp decline in futures yesterday, which followed limited losses in soy oil due to uncertain demand outlooks. US biodiesel blending remains unclear, with signs suggesting it may now…

  • Market Quick Take

    Possible Wheat Bottom & Cattle Top Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1084750239?share=copy Cattle: Continued collapse confirmed by outside day down and gap lowerAugust cattle broke 10-day average, likely targeting 201-202 for supportFeeder cattle under pressure, eyeing 290 range as wave correction unfolds Soybeans: EPA’s RVO plan slashed biofuel demand by 20%, collapsing…

  • Market Quick Take

    Oops, Cattle Did It Again Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1084389139?share=copy Live Cattle: Outside day down and outside week down signals potential top.Monday gap up on Mexican news quickly reversed, ending in capitulation.Possible causes: insider news leaks, weak consumer demand per Walmart comments.Closed above 10-day moving average; break below confirms bearish shift.Fibonacci…

  • Morning Update

    Grain trade struggles to hold Tuesday’s gains. After a firmer night session, prices eventually gave way, with only soybeans managing to hold near mixed trade. Fresh news remains limited, placing greater emphasis on weather conditions and outlooks. The weather continues to be mixed, with current conditions favorable for planting in the Western United States, while…