Uncategorized

  • Morning Update

    Grains firm ahead of holiday-shortened week. Futures opened firmer overnight on light short covering (Turnaround Tuesday). While markets were weak for much of yesterday, strength into the close carried into overnight trade, setting the tone for a better open today. Fresh news remains limited. Export interest is picking up, and South American weather has turned…

  • Morning Update

    A lower grain trade greets the start of Thanksgiving Week. Corn, soybeans, and wheat opened the week under light pressure as overall trade interest remains minimal. A lack of fresh headlines has contributed to the slow pace, but the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday is the bigger driver, with most of this week’s activity expected to occur…

  • Cattle On Feed

    Cattle On Feed October On Feed: 99% vs 98% estimatePlaced: 94% vs 91.2% estimateMarketed: 96% vs 95.9% estimate November On Feed: 98% vs 97.8% estimatePlaced: 90% vs 92.1% estimateMarketed: 92% vs 92.4% estimate October leaned mildly bearish with heavier placements. November came in mildly bullish with lighter placements. Overall they mostly offset, so Monday should be neutral.

  • Morning Update

    Pres. Trump removes the 40% tariffs on Brazilian foodstuff, which includes beef. Futures remain under pressure this morning with limited buying interest. Fundamentally, not much has changed this week, and if anything, the recent increase in Chinese export sales has improved the outlook, particularly for the soy complex. However, much of that support has been…

  • Morning Update

    Strong export sales helped grains recover overnight in price. Grain futures rebounded overnight as bargain buying followed two sessions of profit-taking. Despite the recent wave of selling, there’s been little change fundamentally to justify such pressure. In fact, demand has been steadily improving. The renewed interest from China in U.S. soybeans has helped erase fears…

  • Morning Update

    Soybeans retreat from recent gains, awaiting further Chinese buying. This morning’s grain trade has soybeans on retreat, as the market has initially absorbed the two MMTs of beans purchased by China, amid the prevailing bearish fringe’s constant doubt that they will do any more the rest of this year. As China fulfills its agreement, the…

  • Morning Update

    Chinese buying interest persists. After spending the overnight session in negative territory, commodity prices firmed as the session progressed. Demand is the keyword in trade right now, following yesterday’s rumor that China had booked US soybeans during the session. It is believed that China booked 14 US soybean vessels yesterday, 8 from the Gulf and…

  • Morning Update

    Grain prices recover from Friday’s washout. The market is seeing a moderate rebound this morning following last Friday’s negative reaction to the November WASDE report. While the numbers were not outright bearish, they fell short of expectations, prompting profit-taking on long positions heading into the weekend. Although the data wasn’t strongly bullish, the reduction in…