Morning Update 7/27/22

Grains remain in a sharp recovery. Grain futures worked on both sides of unchanged in the evening (a few lite showers were popping up in the W Midwest, which created evening weakness) but firmed in the early morning hours as the Central US weather forecast, along with Europe’s weather, continue to offer hot and dry…

Morning Update 7/26/22

Heat on the way to the Cornbelt. Grain futures moved sharply higher overnight on yesterday afternoon’s crop rating declines across the board for row crops and spring wheat, along with weather models that continue to bring heat and dryness back into the central corn belt in the early part of August. Grain prices have broken…

Morning Update 7/25/22

Ukraine Export Corridor questioned. Grain futures took an about-face overnight, reversing sharply Friday’s grain price slump celebration of the Ukrainian Export Corridor signing as Russia was launching missile strikes on Saturday morning into the Odessa grain ports, claiming there were ships there with US military munitions on board. After declining for 60 days since the…

Cattle On Feed

Cattle On Feed On Feed: 100% vs 100.1% estimate Placed: 98% vs 94.7% estimate Marketed: 102% vs 102% estimate Inventory: 98% vs 97.9% estimate Calves: 99% vs 98% estimate Report was Neutral to slightly negative on placement number. Expect .50-1.00 lower open on Monday.

Morning Update 7/22/22

Ukraine grain corridor signed today. It’s been 60 days since the hint of a Ukrainian Safe Grain Corridor was first proposed by the UN, and spot wheat futures have declined by $5.00, soybeans $4.00, and corn $2.00 and are back to pre-Ukrainian invasion values. According to Turkish officials, the anticipated signing is at 8:30 a.m….

Morning Update 7/21/22

Russia turns on Nordstream 1 and oil tumbles. Grain futures had a mixed start Wednesday evening, which turned into a freefall overnight, as crude oil tumbled as much as $5.00 a barrel when Russia restarted Nordstream 1 overnight to full capacity. As oil fell, the whole commodity world moved lower in its wake, with gold…

Morning Update 7/20/22

Grain futures produce a mixed overnight trade. Grain futures produced a mixed overnight session, with wheat futures staging a spectacular recovery on the prospects that the Egyptian wheat tender will be taking US SRW wheat. At the same time, corn and soybeans struggled on the chances of improving moisture next week in the 8-10 day…

Buy Corn

Spec trade: Buy a December corn at the MKT, 587 last with a 576 stop. Corn could be setting up a large apex and you need to buy above prior lows again. We stopped out overnight with a $1,000 gain overnight, and are re-establishing our long.