Soil Moisture
This is from one of my weather guys, if Iowa gets less than 35% coverage of coming rains they are in trouble.
Morning Update 7/28/21
Grain futures closed firm after low-volume volatile night. Grain futures on a low-volume night opened firm before corn and soybeans fade into the night of showers broke out, as anticipated, in northern Minnesota, pushing corn and beans lower in the night session. But by the 5 AM morning forecast, corn and soybeans reverted higher, following…
Buy Beans 7/27/21
Spec Trade: Buy 2 Nov Mini-beans at 1363.4 with a 1329 stop.
Morning Update 7/27/21
Grain futures are starting to see a crack in trendline ability. Grain futures did open higher last night on the declining crop ratings, and despite night selling back to unchanged levels, found re-newed buying in the morning hours. The realization that ratings will be down again next Monday due to the stress inflicted this week…
Crop Condition Ratings 7/26/21
Crop Condition Ratings Corn ratings gd/ex came in at 64% which is down 1% from last week’s 65% Bean ratings gd/ex came in at 58% which is down 2% from last week’s 60% MWE ratings gd/ex came in at 9% which is down 2% from last week’s 11% and has now scored worse than the…
Morning Update 7/26/21
Grain futures trade lower overnight on China tensions. Grain futures opened higher last night on concerning heat for this week but were sandbagged and sold on a higher start with a large drop lower as political talks between the US/China have become tense. China called US/China relations at a stalemate. China has presented the US…
Cattle On Feed Report 7/23/21
Cattle On Feed 7/23/21 On Feed: 99% vs 99.0% estimatePlaced: 93% vs 95.9% estimateMarketed: 103% vs 102.1% estimate Cattle Inventory Report: All Cattle and Calves: 99%* vs 99.5% estimateCalf Crop: 100%* vs 99.6% estimateTotal Cows and Heifers: 99%* vs 99.3% estimate*USDA rounds to the nearest percentage point Cattle on feed report bullish on…
Morning Update 7/23/21
Another weather weekend ahead. Grain futures were mixed overnight, with spring wheat again leading the recovery, with corn and soybeans ending slightly to moderately lower. There is no question that the heat/dryness will have sliding US crop ratings on Monday, and it’s likely into the following week. The market continues to look for saving grace…
Buy MWE
Buy a Sept MWE Wheat at 866.2 with a 848 stop, day order. 862 is a 25% retracement of the April-July rally. The June highs of 858-859 also provide support. A rebound from 855-865 would be expected.
Morning Update 7/22/21
The 11-15 day EU weather model suggests rain. From the opening tick of the evening session, grain futures tumbled into a sharply lower session, as the hint of the 11-15 day ensemble for the EU weather model suggested moisture at the opening of August. Algorithm computer systems kicked in and sold relentlessly, irrelevant to what…