Uncategorized

  • Morning Update

    Grains retreat from Tuesday’s bounce in price. The grain trade had experienced a firm start in the night session, but as the session progressed, prices eroded. Soybeans drifted as what was supposed to be widely scattered showers developed into a rain-producing thunderstorm in the region of Southern Cordoba/Northern La Pampa into Western Buenos Aires province,…

  • Morning Update

    Turnaround Tuesday did show up, led by soybeans. As I deduced in yesterday’s newsletter, a turnaround Tuesday was highly probable today, with soybean oil and soybeans getting a boost from a positive crush number yesterday. Not only was the crush just above expectations, but soybean oil stocks were revised lower back in the November numbers….

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade slips below Friday’s lows but holds amid ongoing outside market influences. The grain trade pushed lower on Friday with the chaos and concern that the new potential Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh, may be a fiscal hawk, unfounded for now, but it’s the momentum that goes with it. This selling continued overnight…

  • Morning Update

    Winter wheat values are challenging annual and 60-day highs. Grain futures are mixed this morning with wheat showing gains as corn and soybeans drift slightly from this past week’s lift. Wheat futures are following French milling wheat higher which is making new 2-month high. This is pulling US winter wheat values in a similar scenario,…

  • Morning Update

    Grains climb higher again overnight, as the U.S. dollar potentially breaks down on the monthly charts. Grains have created a morning event that has remained a constant: higher starts over the past week. The only question is: can the day-session seller vigilantes stall it out again? Meanwhile, gold adds another $200 in gains on the…

  • Morning Update

    Grains rally as index funds find renewed interest in ownership. Corn, soybeans, and wheat are all seeing gains in overnight trade, boosted by renewed interest from managed money. However, the real momentum is in the metals market, gold has surged nearly $200 an ounce and silver is up over $7, driven by growing concerns over…

  • Morning Update

    Turnaround Tuesday looks promising for grains if the selling vigilantes can be pushed back on the day session opening. Grains are firmer this morning, in Turnaround-Tuesday style, and soybeans are ignoring yesterday’s outside-day lower close. (I discussed this in yesterday’s newsletter, how the outside-day movements don’t carry the leverage they used to years earlier, as…

  • Morning Update

    Grains are fading after overnight strength, even though the US dollar is breaking below 97.00. Typically, this is a supportive event. This morning, the grain trade is fading from last night’s early strength, as the US dollar tipped lower and metals surged to phenomenal new all-time highs, with gold now well above 5000 and silver…

  • Cattle On Feed

    Cattle On Feed On Feed: 96.8% vs 96.8% estimatePlaced: 94.6% vs 92.6% estimateMarketed: 101.8% vs 101.5% estimate The report is slightly negative relative to pre-report estimates because placements were a bit higher than expected.