WASDE Preview and Weekend Thoughts Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1082655981?share=copy Corn: Made new spring lows before bouncing into the closeFailed to close unchanged; no key reversaWASDE may peg yield at 181 bpa with 2B+ carryoutStrong export sales at 1.66 MMT; Mexico continues buying amid droughtMarket sentiment overly bearish; surprise rally possible…
Possible Counter-Seasonal Wheat Rally Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1081945448?share=copy Wheat: China’s Henan province, responsible for over 25% of national wheat, is under heat stress, including irrigated areas. Little rain is forecast through May 20. Potential for China to return to the world wheat market if crop losses worsen, possibly buying from…
May Day In The Cattle? Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1080637529?share=copy Live Cattle Market opened higher but reversed, closing lower despite strong cash trade reports up to $224.June contract reflects Texas pricing; market skeptical of Northern highs.Outside-day down pattern from April 30 signals possible trend exhaustion. Feeder Cattle Almost formed outside-day down;…
First Notice Day Washout Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1079944395/487646ac05?share=copy Corn Market fell sharply despite 120,000 MT sale to Spain.Planting progress near 25% pressured old crop premiums.Safrinha crop receiving moisture, further dampening old crop urgency.December corn nearing 78% retracement; support near $4.60.Summer rally now hinges on heat/dryness threats to yield. Soybeans 110,000…
Beans Breakout Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1078439740?share=copy Corn: Export sales remain strong; USDA may be underestimating by ~100 million bushels.Carryout could tighten to 1.3 billion, driving summer volatility.Wave 4 technical correction complete; setting up for potential Wave 5 rally.Resistance around 470 on December corn if weather adds fuel. Soybeans: Likely export…
Can Wheat Rally? Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1077723991?share=copy Corn: Lower on planting progress (12%) and 96 million acre talk triggering two-day correctionMarket near Wave 4 low around 479–480; rebound likely post-options expiry FridayFocus remains on old crop demand and stocks rather than acreage expansion Soybeans: Higher on U.S.–China tariff talk optimism…
Easter Hedger Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1076519022?share=copy Cattle: Cattle on Feed report near expectations at 98.2%; placements slightly above estimates may pressure feeders. Cash trade active at $210–$212; April contract aligns with cash. June cattle nearing 207 resistance; technicals suggest wave 2 correction likely. Long-term outlook remains bullish with wave 3…
Wheat/ Cattle/ Oil Observations Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1075807517?share=copy CornMarket dipped after testing 62%-78% retracement levels.3-wave structure suggests potential for higher prices on third-day reversal.July contract could reach $5.05-$5.10.Farmer selling picked up ahead of fieldwork. Soybeans Two-day pullback after strong 65-cent rally.Holding above 100-day moving average; strength could resume.Soybean oil bullish…
Post WASDE Report Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1074438122?share=copy Corn: WASDE cut U.S. corn ending stocks by 75 million bushels to 1.365 billion, much more than expectedMarket outlook targets July corn pushing into the $5.00–$5.50 range, weather permittingSpain recently purchased 240,000 MT of U.S. corn; export demand remains supportiveTechnical wave counts suggest…
Trump Trumps China Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1074069497/9c733af30e?share=copy Market Reaction to Trump’s Tweet: Trump’s tweet imposed a 125% tariff on China and lowered tariffs on 75 other countriesMarkets reversed sharply, with NASDAQ posting a 9% gainCorn and other commodities rallied after floundering earlier in the week Corn Market and USDA Expectations:…
