Author: Ivan

  • Market Quick Take

    Crude Oil Fining a Bounce Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1025232834/c6db75807d?share=copy Corn & Soybean Harvest: Late-stage harvest, pushing through before upcoming rains.Drought affects 81% of corn crops; conditions compared to 2012 levels.Lower yields observed as harvest progresses; soybeans at 12% moisture upon return. Export Sales: Corn sales up 41% from last year,…

  • Morning Update

    The World veg oils continue to lift soybean oil/soybean values This morning, there was more of the same from yesterday, with soybeans following the veg oil/soybean oil market strength higher while wheat drifted. Wheat prices are contending again with sagging spot Russian cash markets. The Russian cash market is quoted between $230-235/MT, which is down…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade this morning is the reverse of yesterday’s close. This morning’s grain trade is reversed from yesterday’s closing, with wheat leading the weakness while soybeans were firm on strength in soybean oil. Veg oils overnight gained, with canola, palm oil, and rapeseed all moving higher on follow-through action from yesterday’s strength. Malaysian palm…

  • Market Quick Take

    Cattle are waving red flags! Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1024485960/12c84f6793?share=copy Cattle FuturesBearish Indicators: Today’s close marked an outside day down, indicating potential trouble ahead.Historical Patterns: Previous major sell-offs began similarly, signaling caution.Market Movements: Live cattle closed near lows, with Tyson’s bids hinting at volatility. SoybeansHarvest Impact: Soybean prices are declining as…

  • Morning Update

    Call it a turn-around Tuesday overnight. Grains bounced overnight after being progressively sold throughout Monday’s session, reaching technically oversold values. Soybeans and soybean meal are becoming oversold with harvest pressure fading. Meanwhile, as of Sunday, the US corn harvest was reported at 81% complete versus 68% a year ago. The US soybean harvest is put…

  • Morning Update

    A sharp break in crude oil overnight weekend grain prices. The reopening of the Sunday night markets had crude oil collapsing, dropping $4.50 overnight, as Israel had hit Iranian targets but did not harm any of the oil infrastructure. This had crude all incomplete premium liquidation, causing a sharply lower opening for soybeans, followed by…

  • Cattle On Feed

    Cattle On Feed On Feed: 100% vs 99.9% estimate Placed: 105% vs 103.8% estimate Marketed: 105% vs 105.2% estimate Report mostly neutral to pre-report estimates with placements slightly negative being 1.5% higher than the pre-report estimates.

  • Morning Update

    This latest rally is demand driven from good exports sales reducing our carryout and easing harvest pressure around the US. As the market looks forward to election time, we will start to see a shift in prices as the political risk increases. First notice day for Nov beans is next Thursday with open interest still…

  • Market Quick Take

    Grains Due For A Stall Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1023268246/e3c38cf686?share=copy Corn: Prices neared resistance at 422-423 with steady upward momentum.Exceeded average export expectations; demand from Japan and other buyers provided support.Further price gains could face resistance at the 144-day and 200-day moving averages. Soybeans: November soybeans hit the 100-day moving average…

  • Morning Update

    US weekly export sales entice short covering in grains and improve basis around the US. Thursday’s weekly export sales ending October 17th announced corn at 141.8 MB for old crop and 22.9 MB for new crop year. Soybeans at 79.1 MB and wheat at 19.6 MB. Mexico was the featured buyer of corn last week…