Author: Ivan

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade is short covering ahead of some key reports. There is a firmer grain trade today, as short covering arrives ahead of US weekly export sales, Stats Canada’s grain production report this morning, and Friday’s jobs numbers, which will have an effect on the US dollar. Next week is the December WASDE report…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade is soft after yesterday’s poor close. This morning’s grain trade is softer after yesterday’s poor closing, erasing early morning gains. The US dollar is firmer again this morning, trading above 106, while South American FOB soybean premiums continue to look to be in retreat ahead of their respective large crop. This Friday’s…

  • Market Quick Take

    Grains Looking For A Rally To Hold Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1035751168/a92e8d90f4?share=copy Soybeans Soybean oil oversold, yet exports remain strong due to competitive pricing.Potential upside hinges on Argentine weather or unexpected export boosts.Risks include bearish patterns signaling potential drop to $920–$880. Corn U.S. corn is the cheapest globally, maintaining export dominance…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade starts the week on a softer note. There is a softer grain trade this morning as the session gets underway for a full week. Despite a weak Brazilian real currency and abundant South American rains, soybeans still remained in a range of 975-1000. Wheat awaits export news to take it out of…

  • Morning Update

    This morning’s grain trade will have soybean oil sharply higher while soybean meal will be lower. This morning’s grain trade will have an interesting take on soybean products. A sharp reversal of Wednesday’s action will occur as Indonesia will install their B40 biodiesel blends on January 1, which will have soybean oil sharply higher. Conversely,…

  • Morning Update

    Grains closed today at regular time and will not reopen until Friday morning at 8:30 a.m. CDT. The corn and soybean markets are showing some signs of strength this morning, while wheat seems more influenced by spread action ahead of delivery than anything. The front month is trying to trade higher, but weakness is seen…

  • Market Quick Take

    Trump Traders Try Again Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1033615801/740bc7043a?share=copy Trump Tariff AnnouncementsProposed 10% China, 25% Mexico and Canada tariffs driving immediate market volatility.Fentanyl crisis cited for Mexico and Canada tariff rationale.Market reacting early to policy shifts effective January 20. Corn MarketPrices dropped on fears of reduced Mexican imports, creating buying opportunities.Seasonal…

  • Morning Update

    Grain futures firm despite Trump’s tariff talks. Grain futures started mixed overnight, but we saw wheat and soybeans advance in a “sell-the-rumor, buy-the-fact” type mentality as the evening progressed. Late in the day yesterday, we got our first shot of tariff talk from President-Elect Trump since the election. Trump posted on his Truth Social website…

  • Morning Update

    Spread action flips overnight with soybeans firm and grain softer. This morning’s grain trade reversed last week’s action via spreading. Soybeans are bought, while wheat and corn are sold. We are heading for the first notice day for the December grain contracts, which is Friday, and liquidation is noted on the December corn and wheat….

  • Morning Update

    Will Russia/Ukraine have issues again over the weekend? This morning’s grain trade has turned firmer after a soft trade, with the US dollar pushing to a new 13-month high of 108.07 before retreating half its gains. Despite the dollar’s strength, gold pushed over 2700, while bitcoin challenged 99,500. We could see a short-covering day today,…