Author: Ivan

  • Morning Update

    Grains softened considerably with no announcement yet on a US/Chinese Ag deal. The grain markets softened overnight, with losses accelerating early this morning after no comments were made about agricultural trade in the initial meetings between the US and China overnight. With high open interest loaded up and high expectations, this triggered profit-taking that fed…

  • Morning Update

    KC wheat overnight took out the May 2024 high in trading. Overnight trading ended mix, but the grain trade was all higher in the early morning hours of today, with Kansas July wheat tagging 750 before retreating a dime from gains of just over $0.20 last night. Last night’s high took out the May 2024…

  • Market Quick Take

    WASDE Aftermath Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1191675578 WheatUSDA delivered aggressive cuts to hard red winter wheat productionWinter wheat supply tightened significantly across the PlainsKansas and surrounding regions saw the largest yield reductionsMarket reaction turned sharply higher on tighter supply expectations CornBalance sheet held relatively steady on headline numbersFeed demand substitution from…

  • Morning Update

    It is WASDE crop report day today at 11:00 a.m. CT. Will the USDA acknowledge wheat production losses? It is WASDE crop report day today, and grain futures are pressing higher. Kansas City wheat takes the lead to the upside, as the overall wheat condition report came in 4% lower in the good-to-excellent category than…

  • Morning Update

    The Iranians pull a “Zelinski” The grain trade is higher this morning, as oil prices again pursue the 100.00 mark, as Iran pulled the suspected “Zelinski” and moved the goalposts on the recent peace agreement. Pres. Trump has called this unacceptable, which can mean military actions to pressure Iran into giving up its nuclear ambitions…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade stabilizes after losses this week. The grain trade has seen the air come out over the past week, with markets giving back some of the inflation concerns as oil softened. Still, some consolidation ahead of the weekend would be understandable (especially since I expect Iran will do a “Zelinski” and blow the…

  • Market Quick Take

    Previewing Tuesday’s WASDE Report Presented by Heartland Investor Capital Management Inc. CTA https://vimeo.com/1190250330 Corn: Exports remain very strong and continue to pressure old crop carryout expectations USDA likely still too high if shipment pace continues through summer Weather into June and July is the key driver from here Soybeans: Crush demand remains the steady support…

  • Morning Update

    The grain trade breaks for the third day in a row, and may get blindsided by Iran over the weekend on a deal change. Another lower grain trade again today, as crude oil lets the air back out of the marketplace. Even though oil prices have not violated yesterday’s lows yet, the grain markets will…

  • Morning Update

    Is the Iran/US war ending, or will Iran pull a “Ukraine” in late negotiations and always want more than what was agreed upon? You have heard the news about a possible end to the Iranian/US war to end their nuclear ambitions, at around 2:30 a.m. CT, energies collapsed, after initially weakening earlier Tuesday evening as…